Please note that this table has nothing to do with the Department of Education, the NCSE or any other official body. The predictions here are based on a huge number of unknowns so please take them with a pinch of salt. I have predicted that the average allocation per pupil per school will rise from 0.47 to 0.48. As before, I believe developing schools will receive a lower allocation but not as pronounced as before. I believe that schools that have decreased their enrollment by less than 30% will retain their SET Allocation but this figure has been taken out of the air. Any school that has lost more than 30% of their enrollment, I believe, will be recalculated at the same rate as a developing school.
The following table are my predicted SET Allocations for the following year. The columns are self-explanatory in the main. Raw Allocation 2023 gives a SET allocation based on whatever average allocation was given in 2017. An allocation based on the 2017 average is given in Column K. The final column takes in a number of factors as outlined above. All three are based on three different predictors. However, the whole thing could be completely wrong!
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| Roll Number | Official Name | County | Pupils 2017 | Total Allocations 2017 | Avg Allocation per pupil 2017 | Pupils 2023 | Raw Allocation 2023 Based on 2017 | Difference from 2017 | Allocation based on Average 2017 | Allocation 2023 based on possible conditions | Avg Allocation per Pupil 2023 |
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